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mickeysquires |
POSITIVE (GALLUP) POLLS SHOW OBAMA WITH RECORD SUSTAINING HIGH LEVELS OF POPULARITY AMONG MAJORITY OF AMERICANS |
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President Barack Obama's job approval rating fell to 58% in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking -- a new
low for Obama, although not dissimilar to the 59% rating he has received previously. Democrats' approval remains very high, while Republican and
independent support is down.
Last Edited By: mickeysquires 06/23/09 02:00 PM.
Edited 2 times.
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mickeysquires |
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historybluff really doesn't understand nor care about the Truth...just headlines...facts and figures are INCONVENIENT
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vwpatterson3 |
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More importantly, in recent polls, the GOP's standing has not improved in spite of Obama's miniscule poll slippage. In fact, the approvals for the GOP
have also declined...down to a mere 21%.
That is truly pathetic and legendary GOP pollster Mike Murphy is right -- the Republican Ice Age has begun. Grab a coat, Histrybuff, it's going to get very cold from the iceberg you're floating on. |
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mickeysquires |
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approval ratings well above the norm for a first term president at this juncture of his first year...NOT BAD PRESIDENT OBAMA...
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mickeysquires |
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OTHER FIRST TERM PRESIDENT'S NEVER HAD SUCH HIGH APPROVAL NUMBERS ... even adjusting somewhat downward...STILL AMAZINGLY SOLID...for a commie/pinko/
facist/nazi muslim...tehe
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pandrmoderator |
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We seem to daily get a thread declaring that polls show that Obama is tanking and a thread declaring that polls show that he is doing well. OK. This is the
official "Obama's poll numbers are just great" thread. All others will be deleted. Add any additional positive polls to this thread.
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musclvr52 |
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We seem to daily get a thread declaring that polls show that Obama is tanking and a thread declaring that polls show that he is doing well. OK. This is the
official "Obama's poll numbers are just great" thread. All others will be deleted. Add any additional positive polls to this thread. WELL??
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mickeysquires |
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still doing well here too...i cannot find any polls telling me otherwise...strange...
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| FAVORABLE | UNFAVORABLE | DON'T KNOW | NET CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRESIDENT OBAMA | 63 (64) | 33 (32) | 4 (4) | -2 |
| PELOSI: | 34 (33) | 55 (56) | 11 (11) | 2 |
| REID: | 33 (32) | 53 (53) | 14 (15) | 1 |
| McCONNELL: | 23 (22) | 60 (61) | 17 (17) | 2 |
| BOEHNER: | 16 (15) | 62 (63) | 22 (22) | 2 |
| CONGRESSIONAL DEMS: | 43 (42) | 50 (51) | 7 (7) | 2 |
| CONGRESSIONAL GOPS: | 13 (12) | 72 (74) | 15 (14) | 3 |
| DEMOCRATIC PARTY: | 50 (50) | 44 (43) | 6 (7) | -1 |
| REPUBLICAN PARTY: | 24 (22) | 71 (73) | 5 (5) | 4 |
Bertz74
JasJames
mickeysquiresIn a new ABC/WaPo poll (data), the weakness of the opposition to Obama's reforms is highlighted in addition to the continuing personal strength of the President.
Expectations for President Obama's stimulus package have diminished, with barely half of Americans now confident the $787 billion measure will boost the economy, and the rapid rise in optimism that followed the 2008 election has abated, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.
The tempered public outlook has not significantly affected Obama's overall standing, which at 65 percent approval in the new survey outpaces the ratings of former Presidents George W. Bush and Bill Clinton at similar points in their presidencies. But new questions about the stimulus package's effectiveness underscore the stakes for the Obama administration in the months ahead, as it pushes for big reforms in health care and energy on top of the singular issue of the nation's flagging economy.
Obama maintains leverage on these issues in part because of the continuing weakness of his opposition. The survey found the favorability ratings of congressional Republicans at their lowest point in polls dating back more than a decade. Obama also has significant advantages over Republican lawmakers in terms of public trust on dealing with the economy, health care, the deficit and the threat of terrorism, all despite broad-based GOP criticism of his early actions on these fronts.
This is the third straight media poll with record low ratings for the GOP. At this rate, someone might actually notice that GOP criticism does not have traction with the public.
On the important right/wrong track, there's improvement since the election but no further rise since the last poll:
Public confidence in the direction of the country remains well above its pre-election lows, but in the new survey, that indicator stopped rising for the first time since the election. In April, the percentage of Americans saying things were moving in a positive direction hit 50 percent for the first time in more than six years, and up from single digits before the November election. In the new survey, 47 percent said they believe the country is moving in the right direction and 50 percent said it is pretty seriously off on the wrong track.
Of interest on the foreign policy front:
But on specific questions of torture policy and the closing of the detention center at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, there is still broad public pushback to his announced policies. Under half, 45 percent, said they approve of shuttering the detention center, and when asked if they'd accept those terrorism suspects in their home states, support dropped further still, to 37 percent.
The country remains sharply divided on torture, with nearly half saying there are cases in which torture should be considered, a sharp contrast to the president's blanket prohibition of the practice.
Still, nothing happens in a vacuum:
The state of the Republican Party remains grim. Just 22 percent of those surveyed identified themselves as Republicans, near April's decades-long low point. Only 36 percent said they have a favorable impression of the GOP, with 56 percent saying they have an unfavorable impression. (Fifty-three percent said they have a favorable view of the Democratic Party.)
The bottom line Obama numbers (MoE 3):
Obama approval disapproval
6/21/09 65 31
4/24/09 69 26
with no specific health care questions other than Obama's 53% approval on health care.

At some point, official media-dom will have to come to grips with how poorly the GOP is doing with the public. The GOP numbers:
It can't be hidden any more. No one likes the GOP and bipartisanship is not an ideal shared by the public. Bottom line: the economy gives folks the jitters, but opposition numbers are in the toilet. Don't bet against this President getting what he wants... once he decides what exactly that is, anyway
vwpatterson3
JasJames
vwpatterson3
pandrmoderator
vwpatterson3
tomasholobekvwpatterson3 wrote:
LOL!!! Oops, Mrs. Danvers is foiled again!!
Bertz74
pandrmoderator
mickeysquiresResearch 2000 for Daily Kos. 6/29-7/02/2009. All adults. MoE 2% (6/22-25/2009 results):
| FAVORABLE | UNFAVORABLE | NET CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRESIDENT OBAMA | 63 (62) | 32 (32) | +1 |
| PELOSI: | 34 (33) | 56 (57) | +2 |
| REID: | 32 (32) | 54 (55) | +1 |
| McCONNELL: | 23 (24) | 60 (59) | -2 |
| BOEHNER: | 16 (17) | 61 (60) | -2 |
| CONGRESSIONAL DEMS: | 44 (43) | 49 (49) | +1 |
| CONGRESSIONAL GOPS: | 13 (14) | 71 (71) | -1 |
| DEMOCRATIC PARTY: | 50 (49) | 43 (43) | +1 |
| REPUBLICAN PARTY: | 23 (25) | 71 (70) | -3 |
Full crosstabs here. This poll is updated every Friday morning, and you can see trendline graphs here.
Since none of the movement this week is terribly pronounced, there is a temptation to call this something of a status quo week. However, it is WHERE the movement took place that leads us to a few conclusions.
Without exception, every Democrat saw better numbers than last week, even if it was just incrementally.
Without exception, every Republican saw WORSE numbers than last week, even if it was just incrementally.
This is especially notable since the Republicans in the poll had spent most of the last month rebounding from the basement-level numbers they were staring at the end of the month of May.
To what do we attribute the reversal of fortune this week? The easy, and most tempting, target is Mark Sanford. The Sanford imbroglio broke in the middle of the week last week, and therefore last week's tracker would not have been able to gauge the full effect of public disgust with another tale of a conservative Republican gone wrong. Sanford, this week, managed to keep the story alive with his own mouth, as well as the escalating calls for his resignation.
That said, it is not for certain that this is simply a Sanford reaction, or revulsion. There is at least some evidence that this might have as much to do with the Clean Energy bill as it does the not-so-clean Sanford adventure.
For the Democrats, the bulk of the increase (indeed, virtually all of it) can be attributed to a marked increase in support from Democratic voters. This is strongest in the case of Nancy Pelosi, as you can see below:
Change in Net Postive/Negative Favorability from 6/25/09 to 7/02/09, Democratic Voters ONLY
Barack Obama +2 (from +80 last week to +82 this week)
Nancy Pelosi +4 (from +52 last week to +56 this week)
Harry Reid +2 (from +38 last week to +40 this week)
Congressional Democrats +2 (from +64 last week to +66 this week)
The Democratic Party +1 (from +71 last week to +72 this week)
If there has been a substantial complaint from Democrats about the early performance of this Congress and this President, it has been that they have been craving more action than they have been receiving. House passage of a major bill like the Clean Energy bill is the kind of action those voters have been waiting for, and they seem to have rewarded Democrats (and Pelosi, in particular) with better numbers.
The Republicans, on the other hand, see their slide register across the board, and just from one demographic band. With the Republican Party's sliding numbers this week (down three from the previous week), their slide was slightly more pronounced among Independents and nonvoters. This could well be a Sanford response, but it could also be continued frustration that the GOP has apparently gone all-in on being obstructionists, with their almost universal lack of support for the energy measure and their continued public position of opposing anything coming out of the Obama administration.
On this week's generic ballot test, the numbers are almost identical to last week's, and similar to where they have been all month:
Would you like to see more Republicans or Democrats elected to Congress in 2010? (6/18 in parentheses)
Democrats 42 (43)
Republicans 29 (29)
Not Sure 29 (28)
Counterintuitively, what little change we find in the 2010 Congressional ballot test moves in the REPUBLICAN direction, albeit by a single point. The Democrats still enjoy a double-digit lead on that question, as they have since we started asking that question a little more than a month ago.
UPDATE: Yeah, yeah, the newbie tried to do graphics. Is that what you young whippersnappers call an "epic fail"? It's been nuked. Lo siento mucho...Resized and fixed. Call it a learning experience!
vwpatterson3

The Obama Honeymoon
Obama's initial approval rating was 68%, generally higher than what other recent presidents had at the beginning of their terms. He averaged 63% for his
first quarter in office.
Now well into his second quarter as president, his approval rating has stayed above 60% for the most part, but he has had a number of ratings in the 50s,
including a low of 57% three times in Gallup Poll Daily tracking.

Because Obama has been able to maintain above-average approval ratings, he is arguably still in the honeymoon phase of his presidency. Now in his sixth
month in office, his honeymoon has already exceeded the durations of those for Ford, Clinton, and George W. Bush. If he can maintain ratings above 55% through
the summer, his honeymoon will match the length of those for Jimmy Carter and Reagan.
Obama's continuing honeymoon could be considered impressive, given that few of his predecessors faced such trying economic and international conditions
upon taking office. He has taken swift action to pass legislation to help improve the economy, but soon Americans will be looking for results and will hold him
accountable if they are not there. Meanwhile, he is turning his attention to his domestic agenda -- most notably in trying to reform the U.S. healthcare system
-- while trying to respond to the international situations that affect U.S. interests and security, including in Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, and North Korea. His
ability to successfully address these challenges will ultimately determine how long his honeymoon lasts.
Survey Methods
Results are based on polls of 1,000 or more randomly selected national adults, aged 18 or older, conducted by Gallup from 1945-2009. Polls from 1945-1989 were
conducted mostly in person, and polls from 1990-2009 were conducted mostly by telephone. Each poll has a margin of sampling error of no less than ±3 percentage
points.